A selection of my research and blog posts on luck in sports.
“On Why Teams Don’t Repeat” (1989, .pdf) -- An analysis of how teams that perform well are probably not as good as their record, and probably achieved their performance partly with the assistance of good luck.
Poor play can be caused by unobservable bad luck.
Randomness in pitching results.
My Presentation from SABR 35 in Toronto, “Were the 1994 Expos Just Lucky?” (2005)
.ZIP file containing the above presentation, plus two spreadsheets with full team and player results.
(Page construction in progress as of Februrary 26, 2013. More links to come.)